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For more than three years of the war, Russian President Vladimir Putin has refused to deviate from his strict claims, which will undo current European protection architecture and will basically turn Ukraine into a failed state.
In just a week, Donald Trump has agreed to almost all of them.
The US President has publicly participated with Moscow and has called for Putin not to invite Kiev or his European allies and not accepting the Kremlin’s own talk in Riyadh.
Only on the last day Trump blamed Ukraine to start the war, President Vloadimire accused Jelnsky of doing a “horrible work” and called him a “dictator”.
Sergey Radchenko, a professor at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, has left Putin “long and proud” in the move to normalize Trump’s relationship. “Russian and Americans are meeting in equal fields as partners – Putin and not behind the classroom,” he said.
He added that the US President’s interest for a quick deal also played for Putin’s convenience. “Trump is hurrying and forced to create a step that can even be harmful in the short -term US interests. And Putin could afford it to wait, “said Radcheneko.
Putin said on Wednesday that he would meet Trump “gladly” but would require enough preparation at any summit. “We need to find mutual acceptable solutions for both sides and it’s not easy,” he said.
Putin praised the “completely different” from the past intermediaries of US negotiators in Riyadh. “They were open in the process of discussion without any prejudice or judgment on what they had done in the past,” Putin said. “
US officials said that the Trump administration had discussed Riyadh as an opportunity to guess whether Riyadh’s conflict was serious. They have added that America did not want that Moscow could draw the issue of discussion during the war, they added.
The United States has proposed to include economic and geopolitical issues in discussions as a way to persuade Russia to end conflict and to advise that there is re-fabrication facilities.
According to Alexander Gabuv, director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center in Berlin, Kremlin will probably see this campaign as a victory in itself.
“They are not giving it as a reward – it’s already directed to travel,” he said.
The Trump administration has already become a NATO member of the Ukraine or the regions under Russia’s occupation have never said what the discounts from Russia in exchange for it, if it could not be surpassed. Wednesday, Trump said that Zelnsky “move on fast or none of its countries left”.
Trump also called Holding Ukraine A new vote, calling Zensky a “dictator without an election” and echoes previous criticism about the Ukrainian president and its validity.
Jensky, under the military law imposed in response to Russia’s 2022 invasion, remains president outside his term in May last year. Putin says he is ready to negotiate with Zensky, but he can sign a final agreement with a different Ukrainian leader.
The Russian leader has not yet left the plan to set up a doll government in Ukraine, a man who discussed the war with Putin in December.
Putin, who is in the Soviet Union’s KGB, “is still a detective officer – and he wants to pick it up”, the man said. This person also added that the war should end the war as he did in Chechnya in the early 20’s, when he agreed to change the warrior Akhamat Kadirov and take responsibility for the war -torn region.
In any discussion, Putin’s position will probably be more difficult than discussion in the spring of 2022, when he was trying to downsizing Ukraine’s armed forces and ban his NATO membership, a former Senior Kremlin official said.
“Since then he has become stronger. The stars are alignment for him, “the former official said.
Russia has said that it does not object to Ukraine joining the EU, but it will probably claim that it did it in a similar condition in Austria, which is not a NATO member and is relieved of the defense promise of the block due to neutrality policy.
The officer has added that Moscow will probably discuss the cost of post -war restructuring in its controlling region. Kremlin will not agree to make Ukraine any revenge and may possibly demand access to funds prescribed for reconstruction and demand for stable resources in the west.
Putin may agree to change the Ukrainian-structured territory in the Russian-storied region in the neighboring Kharekiv area, and if Ukraine does the same thing, the Kiev of other regions claimed by Moscow may acknowledge the “occupation” of the former officials.
The US move to normalize relations with Russia has terrified European countries, especially after Trump’s ambassadors who are “not forever” and Moscow and Moscow do not become a threat of existence for the continent.
Europe also remembers the past attempt at Outreach under former President Barack Obama and Joe Biden, as well as the destructive efforts under the failed Minsk Peace Process led by France and Germany.
“Due to the annoying track records of past resets, I just can’t see why American representatives should trust some of their Russian associates. We need to maintain economic and military pressure, “a European official said.
But Putin has yet to prove to be able to push Trump buttons, Gabuve said.
“Putin’s pitch is that we are talked to two white Christian countries who are united by conservative values that can solve the problems like weapons and the Middle East. The rare earth is metal unlimited resources in Russia [to sell to the US] – You have come with some large numbers to influence Trump. American companies may return to the Russian market, “he said.
“You have created the figure that is in the vicinity of the main partnership and a rested corner with Russia, and Ukraine is a barrier to getting that big reward of better relationships with Russia. And you blamed Obama and Biden for a bad relationship, expressed Trump’s resentment. “
Until the US fled to embrace Russia, the end of their relationship may be against the basic imbalances and the Ukraine war on the issue of continuous issues.
“Any joint US-Russia investment in the strategic sector like technology will create a significant national security threat to the United States in the Chinese case,” Maria Shagina, a senior research fellow of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, says. “This is no longer a cool war environment, where a country can successfully get out of the other to prevent technology transfer and data flow.”
Some US officials also hoped that close relations with Moscow could move away from the alliance with China, the main economic supporter of Russia’s invasion.
“They have this view as a Vasal of China in Russia, which is a horrible opposition to Putin’s dignity that he wants to break,” Radchenko said. “Putin will pocket every discount and then return to China to improve its lifting. He is not a fool. “
Additional Report of Kiev Christopher Miller; Steven Bernard’s cartography
