Reform UK and Plaid Cymru vie for gains in Labour stronghold of Wales

In the upcoming paternal, reform, UK leader Nigel Ferge will travel to an undisclosed city in the valley of the Labor Party to evacuate the Historic Party’s Historic Tihasik in search of his starting gun.

Labor Welsh has gained power in Cardiff for 25 years since the start of the development and has debuted Wales as the largest party in every election since 1922.

However, its controlling impact is about to end the legislature elections in May next year, thanks to a pinsar movement on the left and reforms on his right. In May, an Yugov survey voted only 5 percent of the labor, 20 percent renovated and plaid earned 5 percent and probably earned a mandate to form the next government.

Support Well Sir Care Starmer points to the influence of a cluster of highly unpleasant proven proven proven proven proven proven proven proven to provide winter fuel and disability facilities.

The Prime Minister has announced a U-Turn in winter fuel subsidy and officials are looking at the softening of controversial welfare reforms, while Chancellor Rachel Reeves is expected to announce targeted infrastructure for projects on June 5 spent reviews.

“There are sometimes challenges about what Westminster does,” said David Reese, a member of Abervon’s Labor Send, which surrounded the port talboat, whose Historic Steel Works chose to keep it in effect against billions of investment last year.

“People wanted to change [when they voted for Labour last July] And they didn’t see it. The The They have seen the decisions that have hurt people in their minds. “

For the Populist Party of the Farage, which has chosen the flagged conservative support, the question is whether its new left -wing traditional can win over labor -intensive labor supporters or to attract adequate voters for the first time to challenge both labor and plaid Simru.

If Yugov’s estimates get better in 12 months, the plaid will secure 35 seats and will win reforms 30, with labor in 19 – no party that has not enough seats for the formation of the government.

The leader of the plaude, Run Ape Iurworth, said that the decisions of the starmer “a Labor Party do not recognize” have added that the idea of ​​Welsh Laber thinks that voters always “will bring them backward”.

Eurworth has decided to work with reforms to form a government and insist that a coalition between the plaid and labor was not inevitable if his party won the maximum seat. “There should be cooperation, but don’t assume that there should be any alliance.”

The CNDD elections, which must be held by May 7, 2026, for the first time voters will go to voting on a new “closed proportion list” system, where all the seats will be allotted on the basis of each party’s vote.

The new system will extend the devious chamber to 60 to 96 members and it is widely expected to benefit small parties.

Wales’ first minister, Barnes Elong Morgan, has sought to influence voters after the resignation Von Gating after losing a confidence vote in June last year that Welsh Labor is different from UK labor.

In a speech in Cardiff this month before Starmer’s U-turn, he vowed to “revisit” the Prime Minister to “reconsider” the Prime Minister to “revisit” the abolition of the Prime Minister that the party promised to chart its own “Red Welsh”.

The purpose of the slogan was to echo the “Clear Red Water” position built by former Rhode Morgan in the 2000s to distinguish Welsh labor from Tony Blair’s central new labor project.

However, the separation has become stronger since July last year, when the labor entered Downing Street after a decade of conservative rules.

Richard Win Jones, a professor of Welsh politics at Cardiff University, says: “For many years, they argued that they could not be responsible for the failure of devastating services because it was fundamentally cash problem. This argument seems to have gone out of the road.”

In Llanli, the Welsh seat, which came closest to the general election, was clear to the Starmar and his government.

In the interior market of the city city, retired Michael Clement said that he would leave the plaid next year after the labor power was proved “absolutely terrifying”.

“The biggest con -of the con -con -of what they did to the pensioners, they really disappointed them with the disabled,” he added that Welsh Labor was very opposed to the national team very little, “he said. “My fear is that reforms are about to benefit.”

Another person, who refused to give his name, said he would vote for the Farage party because the labor and Starma were a “waste of space.” His grandson agreed to the agreement.

Gareth Bear stood in favor of reform in Llanli in the general election, saying people were leaning towards the Wales party due to severe economic possibilities and lack of weak public service.

He waited for the Council House of Carmerthanshire, the city’s local authorities, pointed to 000 – the center of the reform propaganda, which has tried to attach the shortage of housing available to the asylum seekers.

“We don’t get the hostility or pushback we used, where people returned your leaflet in such a way that it was cryptonite,” Bear told her wife Michel sitting in a cafe. “People like to jump on a successful train.”

Most academics and surveyors believe that data reforms show support-which is expected to win second place in the Scottish National Party in a by-election for the Scottish parliamentary seat in Hamilton, Larkhal and Stonehouses on Thursday.

Jack Larner’s analysis of Cardiff University politics lecturer reveals that only 5 percent of people across Wales supported the reform, compared to 5 percent of the plaid in July.

Instead, 2 per cent of the former Tory voters is turning to reform according to its analysis, which further suggests that the rebel party is attracting a significant number of people who have never voted.

“Looking at the current reforms in the voting regions, they are the same fields that always voted for labor, and it is very easy to make a logical mistake to assume that the same people are doing it.” This is not what we see, ”said Larner.

In favor of Race, who has been represented in Sende, can turn his fate in Labor Wales if it shows that it depends on the policy against the government in the Westminster, such as investing in local infrastructure and welfare support – and these battles have won.

However, he is aware that such efforts will take time, comparing the governments to the superintellers, you cannot turn them into a second “.

He added, “Always the voter reform and supporters of the Nigel Farage will have a key point, but it is about bringing back these other people to the edge,” he added. “Twelve months are better than nothing.”