Israel’s reinvasion of Gaza is a strategic disaster

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The author is the former Prime Minister of Israel, the Minister of Defense and the IDF Chief of Staff

About 20 months after the October 21 October, Israel is an unfortunate choice: Reach an agreement to bring all the hostages home and end the war-launch a full scale attack on Gaza in search of “total victory” on Hamas.

But the government has confronted one more, deep-choice: align with far right ministers like Ben-Jivir and Bezalel Smotrich, Itma, who is pressing for rehabilitation and rehabilitation of Gaza, or leaning towards the international community, the view of US President Donald Trump’s region peace and international law.

Recently, Trump Reported in the news Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: “If you do not end this war we will leave you”. France, Britain and Canada have already claimed that Israel has been facing humanitarian assistance renewal or consequences and has the UK Declaration It will postpone the discussion on the bilateral trade agreement. The stress is real – and mounting.

An agreement will undoubtedly benefit Israel. This means that the return of the remaining hostages, the end of the struggle and the beginning of the humanitarian crisis in Gaza and the reorganization of the reorganization gives-Israel a new regional architecture, including normalization with Saudi Arabia and participating in the economic corridor of India-E-East-Europe-Europe-Europe.

For Netanyahu, however, this path is dangerous. It threatens its far alliance, October E on October opens the door to call for the Commission’s renewal and can accelerate its long-distance corruption trial. More 70 percent Israelis kept him responsible for the October failure and More than half Imagine he works on the basis of personal – national – interest. An agreement may have expired its long term.

War, on the other hand, defended him politically. However, strategically, it is catastrophic. Israel has already destroyed most Hamas targets and infrastructure. I believe that another point of the fight will bring more destruction but will end at the same time. Hamas’s “complete elimination”, embedded in a group and hiding in 2 million civilians, is not a practical military mission. In fact, a new aggressive attack in Gaza does not give any strategic gain – and the new fight will condemn the death of more hostages. The discussion alone should end.

Many Israelites see Netanyahu’s Gaza reorganization: Protection is essential as a political war to protect the masked coalition of his fragile alliance. And when it inevitably ends – under global stress, human fall or domestic uplifting – where Israel will see itself back, it needs to replace Hamas with a valid option. So why leave hostages, soldiers and more innocent Gazans to get there?

To understand Netanyahu’s strategic mistake, one must remember the source. October October was the dark day in Israel’s history. It has created a compulsory essential: make sure Hamas never ruled Gaza or threatened Israel. Yet Netanyahu never tackled this challenge properly. This is the same man who Claim In 2019 that “who should be against the Palestinian state should be in favor of her” Transfer Foreign funds from Gaza Divided Hamas and Palestinian authorities. The approximate $ 1.5 billion of the Qatari Fund flowing to Netanyahu Hamas is to convenience (to avoid humanitarian disasters, he claimed). However part is likely End In the tunnel and the arsenal.

The first law of the war – to emphasize from Clauswits to Kissinger – it must work for a political purpose. Netanyahu ignores that rule and fails to lead the leadership of the leadership: to remain cool, calm and strategic under pressure. From the beginning, the IDF and the war cabinet pressed him to define “the next day” in Gaza. He rejected. Why? Because it can lead to politically inconvenient facts: defeating Hamas means replacing a regional partner, the international community and the Palestinians to replace a government recognized by themselves.

This will probably require a transitional Arab -led force supported by the Arab League and the UN if needed. Funds may come from the bay states. The administration will fall to a bureaucracy associated with the technocrats and the Palestinian authorities and gradually a new protection equipment can be created under Arabia and US supervision. Israel will rebuild his forces on his behalf to enclose Gaza, and no single person in the Hamas military branch shall be part of the new administrative entity; The IDF will withdraw only after completing the pre-secure security criteria.

This plan has been on the table for more than a year. It was easy to implement before the wholesale destruction of Gaza. It is more effective now, though tightening. However, it is still the only real way for a sustainable victory.

Israel may demand significant achievements today: It has reduced Hezbollah’s threat from Lebanon, neutralized Syria’s military capacity and hit Iran deeply inside, while Tehran defended itself while taking revenge. From this position of energy, Israel can now move towards a wide deal: all the hostages (living and dead) release, ending the war and achieving a peaceful regional discipline.

This path will break the Netanyahu’s alliance that embraces this path and will probably end his political career. The Prime Minister is not working in the national interest; He is acting pure for self-saving. A smuggly of every argument of another.