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An earthquake prediction went viral. Is it giving people false hope?


Children Faguy

BBC News, Washington DC

Christil hays

BBC News, Los Angeles

Max Tags

BBC News, Seattle

San Francisco's top photos photos of San Francisco's. At the beginning is a waterball road with a large red brown bridge standing in the waterThe Getty photos

Brent Dmitruk calls himself prediction.

Between October, told seventy friends that the joints would hit the Custry California, south of a small city of Eureka.

Two months later, 7.3 hit the area northern California – to put millions under Tsunami alert and grows for Mr Dmitrak in remembrance.

“The reason for the people who come from me, how can you deny it by chance. It requires a great skill.

But there is one problem: earthquakes are not foretold, scientists who are studied are.

And that’s exactly that the consistency that makes them uncomfortable. Millions of people in West of North America fear “great” can bring in any situation every time, processing the site and unless souls.

High traffic lights have turned out the trash after earthquake, with a treadmill in the middle with two abandoned carsThe Getty photos

The northwest earthquake, Los Angeles, which killed 57 injuries, was the most quake of the US in the US

Lucy Jones, a media doctor who worked for years (USGS) for more than eight years and writing the book called the biggest, focused on what was still available.

For all the time he learned earthquakes, SS Jones said there has been people looking for a “big” answer “which means it’s disturbing the number.

“A person needs to make a way, even though he has a lot of risk, it’s best to avoid fear,” he told BBC. “They don’t have any predictions.”

With about 100,000 earthquakes seemed around the world every year, according to the US study (USGs), it makes people want to have a warning.

The Eureka State – A City of Arts About 434km) North San Francisco, where the earthquake was done, including more than 10 weeks last week, data shows.

DERME, which is where it’s when the Dr Dminak considered the correct earthquake. It’s one of the “who work very much” of the US, depending on the USGS. Her interviews at three meetings of Tectonic, the area of ​​the Medocto 3 times in touch.

It’s a brother’s movement in relation to each other – if above, below or near – which causes anxiety to make. When depressing is released, earthquake occurred.

Reasoning to be the earthquake would happen here with difficult bet, the bols Jones said, even seven is very rare.

USGS textbooks have been such as such allowances or more powerful than 1900. Five, plus Mr Dmitruk to motivators on TV, occurred in the same area.

Although the thoughts were correct, Ms Jones told BBC that does not require such an earthquake – including severe colors, which will predict accurately.

There are difficult things and “powerful” about things that cause earthquake, Mas Jones said.

The amount of an earthquake is known as an event occurred, said that, using a paper as illustrations: RIP will continue only if there is a wet mark.

Scientists know why an earthquake occurs – but suddenly with such a thing is the only USG thing cannot be done and something “we do not expect to know each time in the future.

San Francisco photo photos on the damaged roads after an earthquake. A number of homes are finished and the road fills the trashThe Getty photos

San Francisco was ruins after 1906 earthquake

Agency text can be calculated earthquake in a particular area within many years – but it’s as close as it can be.

Geological texts indicate that other major colors, called “larger” to local people, occurs in a long time. The attachment of Cascadia is known as 300 to 500 years old, and followed regularly to Pacific Northwenth Tast.

When the San Andreas is southern California is a source of “square” that contains elements of earthquakes.

Jones of Jones talking about his work, had been meeting several thousand people to call on a large earthquake – including people in the 1990s who will send fxcai to his office to be delayed.

“When you predict each week, someone will be lucky, don’t I?” It’s said to laugh. “But then that it is often going to the head and predicted all 10 things were not right.”

This seems to be done by DMINAK, who does not have science. A long time ago he foretold that unusual earthquakes, but the weson of Alaska or islands on New Zealand, strong size.

The USGs refers to an earthquarter earthquake should have three things described – daily, earthquake, the universe and growth – to make it useful.

But the time of Mr Dmitine moves.

Once, he said it would come right away before or the rest of the US President Trump.

Then he said that it would take 2030 prior to it.

Even such an ecological earthquake did not occur, Mr Dmitruk said still that will be held.

Bb Dmitrkui just got to get to the chance, “is not good or lucky.”

This type of attitude is found in earthquakes, Ms Jones did.

“Only distributions can be seen as it is in the formation of its design, we see the stars,” he said.

“Many people are afraid of earthquakes, and to cope with the way [when] It’s going to happen. “

Watch: How the earthquakes repairs many centuries in California

How to prepare for the uncertainty of an earthquake

But only you can’t predict that the quake will mean that you should be unprepared, experts said.

Every year, Thursday Thursday in October, millions of Americans participate in the largest part of the world: a great shock.

It was created by a group in the southern of Califofoke earthlots, which included areas of MP.

By the way, people do a drop of drop, covering, and holding down their knees, and covers under a tight object like one desk.

Drying has been famous since then on the earthfall of ancient earthquake in the earthquakes in other lands and in lands.

If outside, people are advised to arrive on the open surfaces from the trees, houses or electric lines. Near the Sea, people do to the ride of riders after being able to prepare the potential of tsunami’s ability.

Now, the ground does not shake, when it’s not very difficult, then the best time to try, “

Besides the rotings, West Coast uses a mobile device’s data planned by the USGs named Shakelert.

The system works in view of the waves underlined that produce the earthquake. Even if he does not even say the future earthquake produces, provides a warning warning that will be a life saver. It’s a closeest thing to the “forecast” that has been made up to date.



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