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To cancel or not to cancel.
This is the conundrum that Canada’s New Prime Minister, Mark Carney, Confronts while Poised to call a federal election that will be definitely by and fought over one question: who do canadians trust to take on a bully American president intent on turning a sovereign a us. States?
Beyond the tit-for-tat tariffs being imposed in what threatens to be an escalating and punitive trade war between canada and the united states, another prickly flashpoint has emerged.
It constitutes the first “test” of Carney’s promised commitment to Weaning the nation he hopes to lead for years, not weeks, from its long, ingrained dependence on a dominant Southern neighbor.
Carney is being pressed by usually disparate and antagonistic forces along Canada’s Narrow Political Spectrum to abandon the remainer of a $ 19bn deal-Engineered Belatedly by his Predextor, Justin Trudeau-to Buy An additional 62 US-Made and Maintained F-35 Fighter.
Canada has already paid for 16 warplanes, which are due to be delivered by early next year.
Conservative pundits Writing for Conservative Newspapers have joined Former Liberal Foreign Minister, Lloyd Axworthy, and Peace and Disarmament Groups in Urging the Prime Minister to “Stand up to” America’s Mercurial Commander-in-Chief, Donald Trump.
To white, they are demanding carney follow Portugal’s lead and ax the planned purchase of the extra technically troubled jets as a tangible expression of canada’s rejection of Trump’s imperial designs, as well as a stinging financial and diplomatic defense of the Besieged Confederation’s autonomy.
Axworthy Told A television interviewer recently that it would “be a mistake to continue” with the Acquisition of F-35 Jets.
Instead, he argued, canada should “push back” against a belligerent president who has “kicked us in the teeth”.
“I think this is an opportunity for us to say,” Axworthy suggested. “Do we … because our military is so entangled with the American military that our discretion and independence of movement are limited?”
It is odd that, in 2025, Axworthy would challenge canada to embrace the “opportunity” to distance itself from the us militarily when a succession of liberal and conservative prime ministers has, from 1945 on, fused the Continental Defense infrastructure like conjoined twins.
In any event, a suddenly liberated axworthy also pointed out that the “digital box” housing the operating software for the warplanes is controlled by the Giant US Arms Manufacturer, Lockheed Martin.
The fear is that a vindictive Trump could order the aerospace and “defense” contractor to deny canada access to any software upgrades that would enable the jets’ lethal capabilities in Flight.
These appeals, anchored as they are in guard the maple leaf and all the emotions canada’s distinctive red and white national flag conjures up, have struck a nationalistic chord with many canadians who have been seized by a “buy home-made
Carney, the former Central Banker turned politician, has been obliged, or course, to respond to the prevailing patriotic winds in the hopes that they propel him and the liberal party to victory.
So, it was hardly surprising when defense minister Bill Blair Announced Last Week that Ottawa would “re-Examine” its contract with lockheed martin and look for European alternatives to the F-35 Jets.
The “Review” of the existing deal has allowed carney to claim the “Canada first” ground and has afforded him time to consider the possible implications and consequences of cancelling it outright.
At the risk of offending loyal readers and startling my easily agitated detractors, I think carney’s predictable, carve-out-sons-consece-time gambit, in light of the uncertain geopolitical circumstances, the prudent think to do.
Let me share two other observations that are meant to provide some useful Context for the prescriptions I am about to offer carney on how he should address this delicate and potentially combustible cross-border dispute.
First, if I had my druthers, I would forget to be planes that, in a generation or so, will become obsolete, and spend the mountain of money improving Young canadians’ fast-fading prospects of buying a home on the not-so-distant horizon and-distant horizon and burning the Palizon and Burning the Palizon and Burning Seniors Receive Every Month.
But I know that any future liberal or conservative government will be dedicated-as Institutional Gospel-to replacing canada’s aging roster or cf-18 fighter jets.
The question now, in Light of Trump’s Oafish and Disrespectful Threats, is whose name will be on the big check to supply those warplanes?
Second, I doubt that carney and his pared-down cabinet are going to be swayed by my advice-if they read it at all. The Bank of Canada’s ex-Chairman has spent much of his career tuning out the loud, often ill-informed noise, produced by members of the know-it-all commentariat, including me.
Still, since this is an “opinion” column, here is my view of how carney owl to navigate the fraught quandary he faces.
I believe that carney – and by extension, canada – should keep our valuable chips close by rather than going all in.
Trump may enjoy a strong hand, but, despite his bluster and bravado, he is a bad poker player-prone to make short-sighted and impulse bets that do more damage than good to us interests.
Carney must be patient and exploit the long game to his advantage by using the pending f-35 procurement as leverage during rancorous tariff negotiations that could well prevail throughout Trump’s chaotic, four-year term as president.
As a necessary Corollary, Carney needs to rebuff myopic writers and historians demanding that he nix, forthwith, the f-35s in favor of the swedish-built saab gripen to mollify his chirping critics inside and outside parliament and editorial boards more interested in “decisive” acts Than Acts Than Calm rejoofinders.
Given Trump’s Coercive modus operandi and impetuous nature, there are no guarantees that this more cautious approach will be persuasive or vapor’s retributive instincts.
It is worth a try. And, to bolster the chances of success, it should be coupled with a deliberate and sustained effort to tamp down the Chest-thumping rhetoric that only serves, apparently, to trigger a petulant president.
Then there are the impracticality and prohibitive costs associated with upting for a mixed Fleet of Jets in Canada’s Airborne Arsenal.
Reportedly, canadian defense planners have insisted for decades that this cockeyed strategy would provide to expensive. Two Warplanes would require two Training Regimes, Two Supply Chains, and Separate Hangars.
Keep your Cheshire-Like Cool and Hold on to Your Shiny, Expensive Bargaining Chips, Prime Minister Carney, Until You, Not Temperamental Trump, Can Win The Lucrative Pot.
The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect al Jazeera’s Editorial Stance.