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Fink, Dimon, Largarde and more on what’s next for markets


An overview of the Annual Meeting of the World Economic Forum (WEF) as it convenes under the theme of “Collaboration for the Intelligent Era” in Davos, Switzerland, on January 20, 2025.

Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Images

The President of the United States, Donald Trump, has only been in office for a matter of days, but his impact on the markets has already been significant.

US stocks have been affected back-to-back weekly gains last week and even if the demonstration was paused on Friday, the S&P 500 still breaks a new record during the day.

It comes after the US leader asked lower interest rates and cheaper oil prices in a speech Thursday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Investors also bet on potential tax cuts and deregulation under the new president, sending stocks higher.

Not everyone is optimistic about the outlook, however, with some – such as JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon – suggesting that. the markets might be too expensive.

After a week of interviews with business leaders, lawmakers and investors in the Swiss ski resort, here’s what the industry’s biggest names told CNBC:

Larry Fink, CEO and Chairman, BlackRock

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink: Could see 10-year Treasury yield hit 5-5.5% and

I am cautiously optimistic – That being said I have scenarios where it could be pretty bad,” Fink told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin.

“I believe that if we were to unlock all this private capital, we would have enormous growth, [but]at the same time, some of this will unlock new inflationary pressures,” he explained. “And I believe that this is the risk that is not factored into the market.”

Ted Pick, CEO, Morgan Stanley

Pick said he believes corporate earnings could lift growth in markets over the next 12 to 24 months as they “continue to be strong.”

“This is a kind of indicator … How many companies right now are really talking about recession, how many are talking about inflation? I feel that the earnings pull through looks very bloody,” he said.

“More importantly, I know we like to look at the index, but the index is dominated by half a dozen technology companies – which, by the way, are all good – but if you look at the possibilities of deregulation in the energy sector, in the financial services sector, those sectors are still in multiples that are not so expensive,” added Pick.

“If you are an investor and you think about the allocation in the next 12 to 18 months, of course there could be a drawdown at the level of the index, but [do] Do you really want to think about where I have the exposure of the sector?”

Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank

Disinflation has arrived, says ECB President Christine Lagarde

Lagarde he told Karen Tso that there was a divergence in monetary policy between the euro area and the United States due to a “different economic environment”.

She also said she was not “overly concerned” about the risk that inflation abroad will be imported into Europe, adding that she expected the ECB to continue to gradually lower interest rates while the growth rate of prices move towards the target.

“We are certainly interested in seeing the United States grow, because growth in the United States has always been a favorable factor for the rest of the world,” Lagarde said.

Nicolai Tangen, CEO, Norges Bank Investment Management

“I don’t think you should give advice to the United States, but if you look at the risk to the financial markets, I think inflation is definitely, all driven by tariffs.” Tangen said Tuesday. “Geopolitical tensions are generally negative for financial markets and for financial returns.”

Tangen added that “purely financially”, the arrival of Trump will be “very positive” for many American companies.

Jamie Dimon, CEO, JPMorgan Chase

Dimon said he thinks U.S. asset prices are “somewhat inflated” at their current levels.

“By any measure, they’re in the top 10% or 15%,” Dimon told Andrew Ross Sorkin on Wednesday, referring to the US stock markets. “They are high and you need pretty good results to justify those prices.

“We all hope for that, and having pro-growth strategies helps make that happen, but there are negatives out there and they can tend to surprise,” he added.

David Solomon, CEO, Goldman Sachs

David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs: A more growth-oriented agenda is the best for us

Solomon said the markets were in risk mode and there was a sense of optimism in equities because of the new US administration and because of advances in technology.

Solomon too said Andrew Ross Sorkin that he was noted a focus on growth, in the United States, and also in his conversations with European clients in Davos.

“I think people are optimistic, and it will not be a smooth and perfect road, but people are optimistic that we are going to manage a more growth-prone agenda. We are going to release some investment, let’s go. to unlock the private sector a little but more, and this should be constructive,” he said.

“It’s hard to argue with the fact that equity multiples are high… I think the equity markets are showing a sense of optimism at the moment, but they’re also showing a sense of optimism around growth and technology , especially this AI wave. Of course it won’t be a straight line, but some of the technology that we see, the opportunities for that technology to improve productivity significantly.”

Khaldoon al-Mubarak, CEO, Mubadala

“Continuing on the trends we saw in 2024 being a positive year in most markets… I see that continuing in 2025, I see a continuation of strong tailwinds in the core markets, the United States, the “Asia, especially the growth-driven markets in Asia,” al-Mubarak told CNBC’s Dan Murphy on Monday.

“I see a continuation of good tailwinds in technology and healthcare and financial services, life sciences,” he added. “So I would say, maybe almost the same words I used last year: cautiously optimistic. When I look at 2025, it will be an exciting year.”

Ray Dalio, Founder, Bridgewater

Watch CNBC's full interview with Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio

Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio told CNBC that earnings-per-share reports were high in the US markets, but that there could be more room to climb in artificial intelligence beneficiaries.

“We’ve gone far enough already… I think it’s driven by the sectors that are big sectors, the disruptors, AI and so on.”

“I don’t think it’s been carried over to the applications of AI, to the uses of AI … the applications of AI are being discounted, I think.”

Brian Moynihan, CEO, Bank of America

Moynihan said Andrew Ross Sorkin On Tuesday he thought that US markets had room to climb in 2025, and that the key concern for companies and financial services would be regulatory policy, rather than inflation.

“Our research team thinks that there is room to go this year, they predict that the market will go up. Not as much as last year, and the unusual thing is that you had a couple of years in a row of very strong growth , but that had come out a couple of years ago, very unusual times,” he said.

Moynihan added: “I think if you look at the key thing for businesses in general, including financial services and banking businesses, is the question of regulation.”

Sergio Ermotti, CEO, UBS

The tariffs proposed by US President Donald Trump could prevent disinflation and keep interest rates higher, the bank chief. said Andrew Ross Sorkin on tuesday

“Inflation is much stickier than we’ve been told,” Ermotti said.

“Tariffs probably won’t really help inflation come down. And so I don’t see it [interest] rates are going down as much as people believe,” he said.

CS Venkatakrishnan, CEO, Barclays

Venkatakrishnan, whose British bank makes about 40% of its revenue in the US, said he was “optimistic” about US deal activity this year.

“I think there are two things that drive it. One is that interest rates have reached a relatively stable level. Our economists call for perhaps a rate cut in the United States over the next year,” he. said Andrew Ross Sorkin.

“They are still high, but they are stable, so you can at least plan better, because you don’t have volatility in rates. The second is with the change in [U.S.] administration, it should be easier for mergers to take place.”

Venkatakrishnan added that he expected President Trump to relax regulations, which would be “generally good for business sentiment and good for business opportunities.”

Rachel Reeves, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer

UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves: UK

Reeves, the United Kingdom needs to attract more investment in supervision to boost economic growth he told CNBC.

“My message to American investors and also to global investors is: Britain is open for business, we want your investment.”

He also discussed Trump’s global tariff threats.

“I understand that President Trump is concerned about countries that have a large and persistent surplus on the trade balance with the United States. This is not the case for the United Kingdom,” said Reeves.

“We are not part of the problem here. So we, the United Kingdom, increased trade with President Trump the last time he was in office.”

Christian Sinding, CEO, EQT

Sinding, CEO of Swedish private equity firm EQT, told CNBC’s Karen Tso and Steve Sedgwick on the ground that the M&A and big deal market “continues to improve.”

“We had a record year in 2024 we made more than $20 billion in investments,” he said. “We’ve done more than $10 billion in exits, and that’s kind of building up to 2025, [when] I think that many of the market participants are now ready for transactions, whether it is private capital or family offices or strategic buyers. And, of course, if you look at the global capital markets, the IPO market is open. The credit markets are strong, so we are quite positive in the next year.”



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